DC Defenders at Birmingham Stallions odds, picks and predictions

Jess Root

Staff Writer

One of the 3 Week 4 UFL games Saturday has the DC Defenders (2-1) on the road facing the Birmingham Stallions (3-0). Kickoff is at 7 p.m. ET at Protective Stadium (FOX). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Defenders vs. Stallionsodds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Defenders rallied for a 29-28 win as 1-point underdogs in the final minutes at Arlington Renegades in Week 3. Trailing 28-18 with less than 2:08 to go, RB Cam'Ron Harris scored a 1-yard rushing touchdown and QB Jordan Ta'amu ran in for the 2-point conversion to cut the deficit to 3. Using the alternate kickoff rule to try and maintain possession with a 4th-and-12 play, Ta'amu completed a 19-yard pass to WR Ty Scott to keep possession, and 4 snaps later, K Matthew McCrane hit a game-winning 49-yard field goal with 4 seconds remaining.

The Stallions won their 3rd straight game, beating the Memphis Showboats 33-14 as 7-point home favorites in Week 3. QB Adrian Martinez passed for 334 yards and 2 touchdowns and ran for a team-high 44 yards with a score. Birmingham outgained Memphis 424 yards to 211.

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Defenders at Stallions odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:48 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Defenders +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Stallions -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Defenders +9 (-115) | Stallions -9 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Defenders at Stallions key injuries

Defenders

TE Briley Moore-McKinney (knee) out
DE Andre Mintze (hamstring) out
S Montae Nicholson (neck) out

Stallions

K Chris Blewitt (quad) out
CB Ike Brown (foot) out
OL Cole Schneider (knee, ankle) probable
OL Matt Kaskey (ankle, shoulder) probable

Defenders at Stallions picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 28, Defenders 13

Moneyline

The Stallions (-400) have the league's top offense, averaging 26.7 points per game (PPG) and 374.3 yards per game. They also have the league's top defense, allowing 13.7 PPG. They have not allowed more than 14 points in a game yet.

The Defenders (+310) gave up 28 to the Renegades.

There is no reason to bet against the Stallions yet, although the injury to Blewitt is something to watch to see whether the kicking game is affected.

However, betting the Stallions at -400 just makes no sense because there is no value.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Stallions have covered the spread in all 3 games they have played, winning twice by double digits.

After being held to just 12 points in the opener, DC scored 23 and 29 points, respectively, in its next 2 games. The Defenders have won outright the last 2 weeks as underdogs.

With how the season has looked through 3 weeks, I am riding the Stallions until they give me a reason not to.

BET STALLIONS -9 (-105).

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Over/Under

The Under was 2-0 in the Stallions' 1st 2 games but the Over hit in Week 3 with their 33-point performance.

As mentioned, the Stallions haven't allowed more than 14 points in a game this season, so it would take another 30-plus-point game for the Stallions for this Over to cash.

The Defenders have allowed more than 20 points only once this season.

BET UNDER 46.5 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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